CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f0e50b253788d891575ae0a1356bb5fe214c63eef797efb879c14c8451e53e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 4,957$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.34 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 64c | 1,621$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 1,544$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.73 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 48c | 1,438$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Young Ninjas | 48c | 1,170$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.4 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Young Ninjas | 48c | 1,159$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.82 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 720$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports | 24c | 515.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 515.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 502$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 345.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked UNiTY esports | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNiTY esports | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Young Ninjas | 60c | 201.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Young Ninjas | 47c | 162.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 144.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 117.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked UNiTY esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 95.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNiTY esports | 43c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked UNiTY esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Young Ninjas | 52c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 59c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage PlayoffsYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.