CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2c34b970e3e70291c2b4e2c563760d1e7ff97729074291226e578f302323b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 71c | 2,036$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Leo Team | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Leo Team | 39c | 1,075$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Leo Team | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Leo Team | 24c | 933.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Leo Team | 48c | 696$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Leo Team | 47c | 665.92$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Lavked | 53c | 595.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.42 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 27c | 563$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 70c | 538.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leo Team | 32c | 531.28$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 40c | 524.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Lavked | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Lavked | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lavked | 51c | 484.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 60c | 455.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 62c | 315.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 34c | 303.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked | 72c | 297.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 69c | 277.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Leo Team | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Leo Team | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lavked | 60c | 210$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team | 45c | 208$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Lavked | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team | 43c | 184.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 41c | 177.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Lavked | 56c | 176.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lavked | 57c | 175.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Lavked | 61c | 151$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Lavked | 70c | 149.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Leo Team | 26c | 139.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Leo Team | 53c | 126.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Leo Team | 23c | 118.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Leo Team | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Lavked | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lavked | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Lavked | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Leo Team | 41c | 96.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Leo Team | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Lavked | 57c | 96.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Leo Team | 22c | 89.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Leo Team | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Leo Team | 24c | 75.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…120abacked Leo Team | 23c | 65.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Lavked | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Lavked | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Lavked | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 51c | 56.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…f58abacked Leo Team | 27c | 55.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Lavked | 73c | 55.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lavked | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leo Team | 19c | 53.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lavked | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 52c | 44.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Lavked | 50c | 42.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Leo Team | 45c | 37.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Lavked | 62c | 36.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 66c | 32.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Leo Team | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…1524backed Lavked | 57c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Lavked | 71c | 25.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Leo Team | 42c | 24.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked Lavked | 73c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 60c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 72c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Lavked | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Lavked | 74c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lavked | 63c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Lavked | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.