CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eda3e9f0240b90a6dbdd761825255bd5c46777d7cc0c5b00a2eab9ba4c1b057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Lavked, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Leo Team | 54c | 1,043$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.82 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 40c | 359.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 37c | 296$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lavked | 61c | 292.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 45c | 284.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Leo Team | 65c | 188.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Leo Team | 66c | 150.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 28c | 139$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 49c | 138.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Lavked | 55c | 127.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Lavked | 45c | 101.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 35c | 101.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 32c | 95.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lavked | 45c | 91.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 51c | 83.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 53c | 75.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lavked | 59c | 74.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lavked | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Lavked | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 41c | 38.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 40c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.