CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dafdad9dbb8975c6a4f0ce2b913c7c249ef9f91391e19f0fb8f096c2fd7c7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Leo Team | 50c | 1,209$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.48 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Lavked | 44c | 421.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Leo Team | 42c | 360.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Lavked | 50c | 300.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 56c | 290.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 35c | 286.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 50c | 236.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Leo Team | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Lavked | 63c | 171.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 56c | 139.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 58c | 89.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lavked | 50c | 81.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 63c | 78.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Leo Team | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Leo Team | 36c | 39.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Leo Team | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked | 70c | 27.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Leo Team | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.