NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d33de7b7838ccda945c6de160590e0a947a74d3cabe53dd5c34f0e648c726f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Sabres | 39c | 174,537$68,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,441.53 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sabres | 0c | 85,092$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Bruins | 61c | 82,000$50,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,980 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sabres | 1c | 66,193$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.89 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Bruins | 60c | 58,455$35,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,127.24 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Sabres | 1c | 48,873$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.41 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Bruins | 61c | 23,000$14,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,970 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sabres | 1c | 9,148$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Sabres | 38c | 6,706$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.71 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Sabres | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Sabres | 0c | 4,398$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Sabres | 1c | 4,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Bruins | 61c | 3,875$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Sabres | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 62c | 3,037$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 39c | 2,652$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.03 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bruins | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 60c | 2,466$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.59 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Bruins | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bruins | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,690$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bruins | 61c | 1,677$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.46 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Sabres | 1c | 1,634$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Bruins | 62c | 1,606$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.47 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bruins | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sabres | 21c | 1,223$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Bruins | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 79c | 1,153$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 78c | 1,121$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sabres | 39c | 1,001$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.23 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Bruins | 60c | 892.89$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bruins | 60c | 875$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sabres | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Sabres | 40c | 825$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Bruins | 62c | 823.5$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Bruins | 60c | 760$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Bruins | 61c | 657.88$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 66c | 628.6$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Bruins | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 39c | 511.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 52c | 504.19$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.23 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bruins | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 64c | 377.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Sabres | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Sabres | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Bruins | 61c | 216.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Bruins | 62c | 154.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked Bruins | 62c | 154.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bruins | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Sabres | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Bruins | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Sabres | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Sabres | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Sabres | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sabres | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Sabres | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed Sabres | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Sabres | 40c | 116.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Bruins | 62c | 110.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Bruins | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Bruins | 63c | 100.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Sabres | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Bruins | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins | 61c | 97.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Bruins | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Bruins | 62c | 95.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sabres | 41c | 95.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Sabres | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Bruins | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bruins | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Sabres | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed Bruins | 62c | 66.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bruins | 77c | 64.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Sabres | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Bruins | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Sabres | 40c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…1b84backed Sabres | 48c | 54.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Sabres | 57c | 52.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…732bbacked Sabres | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bruins | 63c | 50.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…9b06backed Sabres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sabres | 25c | 47.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Bruins | 61c | 47.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sabres | 44c | 42.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…a0a5backed Sabres | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…ba7bbacked Sabres | 39c | 40.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Sabres | 37c | 40.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bruins | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…c347backed Sabres | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Sabres | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…5ce0backed Sabres | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bruins | 62c | 35.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bruins | 68c | 33.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Bruins | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bruins | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Bruins | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Bruins | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Sabres | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.