TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$598,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$651,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6815…9edbbacked Over3c366,119$10,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,225.879157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over56c77,115$43,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,140.2667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over6c38,322$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.6233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under44c22,050$9,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,34818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over1c19,640$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4615554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under44c16,110$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,021.610146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c15,705$9,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,093.812,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under44c13,486$5,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,535.4628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over0c12,047$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1214052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c10,889$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.7910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over1c7,938$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8913855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Under44c5,473$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.735230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over0c4,392$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under67c3,745$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.822,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over1c3,467$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4510357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under44c2,685$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.619038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,012$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.81,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.1661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under61c1,615$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over56c1,148$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.8627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over40c1,136$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5117247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under45c1,125$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.812748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under60c1,097$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.252850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under40c1,077$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.2756553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Over55c1,002$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5125555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c830.28$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.081,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c631.58$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c625.41$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.231,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c536.29$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.681,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over37c516.22$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over56c440$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c409.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.751,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under60c393.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over39c380.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.111543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…76b4backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under67c316.06$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1687149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Over56c235.71$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under44c231$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3621549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under74c229.38$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7611551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.520147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9912536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under68c199.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under44c196$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.764158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac2…6a47backed Under44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over37c169$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under44c141$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over36c129.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.866053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c127.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c119.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1110663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under44c118.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1826750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over56c114.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1247753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c110.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under44c101.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.818844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7360449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Over56c87.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.083240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over56c86.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.283250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over57c84.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.936852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4221155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under70c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9310865.7%71 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under43c67.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8553849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under44c63.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2428847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under44c49.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9818941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Under46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Over29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.986459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb05e…9b8dbacked Over57c43.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.815547.1%73 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under44c41.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Over57c40.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Under72c36.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa796…95f9backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under58c34.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Under45c33.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.336550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under56c27.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under44c26.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over56c25.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4417147.4%81 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…f0a9backed Over57c21.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.