TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb05e…9b8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT15547.1%73 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$12.86
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$19.4
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$25.87
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.32
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.7
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.35
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.