NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x218c5a8e6f94fb2dd0f840e1a400d6a8936c2502083050e461f0b3699675eee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,519,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,515,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 47c | 598,821$281,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317,375.34 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 53c | 498,826$264,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,361.54 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Suns | 52c | 197,824$102,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,868.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Suns | 50c | 91,141$45,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,165.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 46c | 64,086$29,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,606.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 48c | 60,571$29,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,506.86 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 50c | 59,297$29,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,791.27 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 54c | 45,019$24,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,310 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Suns | 48c | 42,129$20,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,085.51 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 48c | 40,368$19,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,991.66 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 48c | 30,320$14,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,789.15 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Suns | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Thunder | 46c | 23,999$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,959.7 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 46c | 22,654$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,205.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 48c | 20,386$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,570.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Thunder | 47c | 20,230$9,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,721.78 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 48c | 19,643$9,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,214.71 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 54c | 18,724$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.96 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 57c | 18,432$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.31 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Thunder | 69c | 17,407$11,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.8 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Suns | 54c | 16,857$9,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,092.84 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Suns | 70c | 16,108$11,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,226.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Suns | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Suns | 43c | 11,629$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.99 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 55c | 10,950$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Suns | 6c | 10,579$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Thunder | 51c | 9,857$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.77 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Thunder | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 38c | 9,305$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Suns | 53c | 8,746$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.49 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 47c | 8,583$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.47 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Thunder | 50c | 8,246$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.41 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Suns | 53c | 7,094$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Suns | 53c | 6,603$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 55c | 6,465$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.03 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Suns | 50c | 6,305$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 55c | 5,132$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.56 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Suns | 30c | 5,023$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.28 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 48c | 4,978$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.67 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Thunder | 48c | 4,921$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.79 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Suns | 17c | 4,557$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.69 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,552$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 52c | 4,465$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.04 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder | 48c | 4,444$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.71 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Suns | 65c | 4,288$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.46 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 52c | 3,925$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.12 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,876$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.09 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Suns | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 47c | 3,275$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.71 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 50c | 3,223$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.53 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Thunder | 47c | 3,090$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.7 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Thunder | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,998$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.19 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 51c | 2,988$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.15 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.29 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Suns | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.6 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 52c | 2,627$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Thunder | 39c | 2,614$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 48c | 2,597$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Suns | 53c | 2,587$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…4765backed Suns | 53c | 2,587$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 53c | 2,456$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns | 57c | 2,386$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.03 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Suns | 54c | 2,382$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.49 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Thunder | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…c146backed Suns | 54c | 2,161$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.88 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Thunder | 48c | 2,016$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 53c | 2,004$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.95 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 53c | 1,925$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Suns | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,747$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.69 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Suns | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.14 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Suns | 64c | 1,693$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Suns | 53c | 1,681$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.52 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 52c | 1,566$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.39 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 47c | 1,555$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.33 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Thunder | 54c | 1,520$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.11 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Suns | 54c | 1,459$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Suns | 53c | 1,451$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.15 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 44c | 1,450$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.36 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Suns | 52c | 1,443$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.35 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,420$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.59 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Suns | 53c | 1,366$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Suns | 54c | 1,309$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.93 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,307$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.32 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Suns | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Thunder | 37c | 1,273$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 60c | 1,255$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Thunder | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Suns | 53c | 1,192$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.67 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 53c | 1,160$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.3 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,153$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Thunder | 50c | 1,106$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.17 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5af…2b6dbacked Suns | 1c | 1,030$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Thunder | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.