NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a71ef5300953c706ec7011a46ac9148aac44b6fd6a20da0d06b3a89f7dc310e

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	52c	15,412$8,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,025.77	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	48c	13,887$6,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,221.06	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	47c	991.25$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.36	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	944.22$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	48c	725.51$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.3	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	599.97$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.99	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over	48c	416.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.63	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Over	50c	388.45$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.46	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1543…a222backed Under	55c	386.26$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	379.71$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.06	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	357.7$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.33	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over	4c	323.3$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.83	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over	33c	299.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.99	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+7.3wins	+0.16per pick	33cpaid	+82%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under	58c	292.44$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.56	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	46c	279.17$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.65	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over	46c	272.21$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.99	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	51c	265$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.15	320	45.3%145 W · 175 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over	56c	207.75$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	258	50%129 W · 129 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under	56c	195.13$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.04	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Over	45c	193.4$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.37	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	50c	169.01$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.71	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	42c	152.96$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.72	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under	51c	141.35$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over	50c	133.64$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.08	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	44c	130.27$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.38	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	52c	114.08$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.54	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under	48c	110$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	139	49.6%69 W · 70 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Under	56c	101.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under	54c	99.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Under	30c	94.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	55c	92.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.33	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	48c	87.46$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.68	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	44c	75.95$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.47	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Over	43c	68.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.18	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	45c	67.32$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.02	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…0ee6backed Over	44c	65.89$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd7…ea48backed Under	52c	61.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	170	43.5%74 W · 96 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	67c	58.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	49c	58.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	55c	52.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.35	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	58c	52.23$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	51c	49.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under	39c	49.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under	46c	49.26$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over	68c	48.94$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.43	200	55.5%111 W · 89 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	50c	47.53$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Under	54c	45.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over	44c	43.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	519	46.8%243 W · 276 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	45c	40.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over	48c	40.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.96	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-12.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa662…4823backed Under	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	48c	32.8$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over	45c	32.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.73	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	50c	29.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	221	43.4%96 W · 125 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under	54c	27.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	48c	26.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Under	57c	25.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Over	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	55c	22.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	60c	22.45$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	45c	22.24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.23	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over	70c	21.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.44	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under	54c	19.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	68c	18.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event