NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4e9e2c83020356d0a8ef95bd2a7a88f2a2fb7c24a452c3b32d2e304aa4585c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 137,295$67,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,147.35 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 0c | 87,410$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 73,623$37,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,345.91 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 65,247$34,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,251.24 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Under | 45c | 42,579$19,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,319.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 22,390$12,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,649.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Over | 49c | 19,544$9,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,967.49 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 13,378$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,956.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 13,192$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 50c | 12,804$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 68c | 10,537$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.65 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 8,648$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.48 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Under | 50c | 7,839$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 7,058$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Over | 52c | 6,901$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 6,371$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.14 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 5,696$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.26 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 5,540$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.42 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 33c | 5,509$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 66c | 4,880$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.5 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 4,740$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.38 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 50c | 4,422$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 50c | 4,237$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.65 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…b713backed Under | 57c | 3,665$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 3,440$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 53c | 3,209$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.01 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 50c | 3,201$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf160…c3e7backed Under | 50c | 3,201$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 61c | 3,158$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 50c | 2,921$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 49c | 2,726$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,342$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…b4d8backed Under | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 2,230$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.49 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 57c | 2,229$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.11 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 46c | 2,164$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.82 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Over | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.89 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,092$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.86 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 28c | 2,051$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 48c | 2,005$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.65 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 51c | 1,968$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4cfdbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 46c | 1,763$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.58 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,574$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 63c | 1,421$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.53 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…0c77backed Over | 49c | 1,383$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…7a69backed Over | 49c | 1,361$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 1,361$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.23 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…2650backed Over | 49c | 1,359$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 51c | 1,298$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.29 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…cd85backed Over | 49c | 1,244$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 69c | 1,209$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.17 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 1,206$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.39 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Over | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 49c | 1,181$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 51c | 1,150$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Under | 55c | 1,082$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 26c | 1,061$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,035$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 41c | 1,006$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 930.54$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.62 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…7928backed Over | 45c | 903.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 887.26$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 874.59$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.82 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 874.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.28 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 24c | 796.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 51c | 786.34$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Under | 51c | 701.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 64c | 674.31$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…9b77backed Under | 51c | 659.88$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 523.83$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.45 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 460.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Under | 36c | 436.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 430.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.74 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 69c | 423$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Under | 50c | 397.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 397.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Under | 26c | 381.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Over | 51c | 336.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Over | 63c | 335.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 53c | 330.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 47c | 327.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -11.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 77c | 313.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 298.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Over | 51c | 290.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 279.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.