NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf752c3ec9526de39530718246fcf9a69c4bc883191c8fc994eb4d43990c49030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,074,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,164,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,074,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 79c | 684,412$539,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,632.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Suns | 22c | 367,275$80,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,800.49 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Thunder | 78c | 248,674$193,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,708.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 22c | 198,793$44,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,077.76 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 23c | 153,309$35,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,261.03 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Suns | 22c | 150,135$33,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,029.7 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 22c | 150,089$32,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,874.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Suns | 22c | 150,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.98 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Thunder | 78c | 140,060$109,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Thunder | 79c | 126,805$100,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,628.95 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Suns | 23c | 124,409$28,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,614 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Suns | 4c | 112,300$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.42 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Suns | 22c | 101,071$22,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,024.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 79c | 88,387$70,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,322.22 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Suns | 12c | 58,782$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.82 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 71c | 58,591$41,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,065.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Suns | 17c | 56,384$9,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,501.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Suns | 27c | 48,093$13,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,125.76 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Thunder | 77c | 45,984$35,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,576.32 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Thunder | 78c | 43,075$33,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 8c | 42,448$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 78c | 40,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Thunder | 77c | 35,062$26,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.44 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Suns | 22c | 35,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns | 1c | 31,908$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Suns | 23c | 31,102$7,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 15c | 29,516$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 78c | 29,106$22,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder | 77c | 24,934$19,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.42 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 68c | 21,760$14,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.41 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Suns | 19c | 20,868$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.09 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 21c | 20,516$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…2596backed Thunder | 78c | 16,881$13,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…c63dbacked Suns | 0c | 16,818$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 22c | 16,234$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Suns | 18c | 16,186$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Thunder | 78c | 15,789$12,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.54 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Suns | 0c | 14,752$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Suns | 34c | 12,711$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.8 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Suns | 2c | 12,524$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Suns | 23c | 12,460$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Suns | 22c | 12,325$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.5 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 15c | 12,130$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Suns | 13c | 11,569$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns | 24c | 11,438$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.95 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 22c | 11,111$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.42 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Thunder | 75c | 10,566$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.3 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Suns | 6c | 10,389$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Suns | 37c | 10,025$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.98 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Suns | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Thunder | 78c | 9,955$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.1 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Suns | 7c | 9,953$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.58 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Suns | 23c | 9,944$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.21 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 78c | 9,868$7,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.96 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns | 22c | 9,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.92 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Suns | 10c | 8,587$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 34cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…33d2backed Thunder | 79c | 8,574$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…2de3backed Suns | 16c | 8,416$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Suns | 26c | 8,233$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.02 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Suns | 22c | 7,991$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.07 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Suns | 23c | 7,799$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.81 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Suns | 25c | 7,769$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.5 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Thunder | 78c | 7,400$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.89 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…0d2bbacked Thunder | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…e646backed Suns | 22c | 6,999$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 80c | 6,423$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.65 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 78c | 6,242$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.04 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns | 22c | 6,128$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.23 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Suns | 9c | 6,086$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.36 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Suns | 22c | 5,992$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.14 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Thunder | 78c | 5,921$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.58 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,898$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.63 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 0c | 5,795$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Suns | 22c | 5,518$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.02 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 72c | 5,467$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.66 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 20c | 5,288$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…3f23backed Thunder | 78c | 5,270$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 77c | 5,236$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.22 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Thunder | 77c | 5,234$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.84 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 4c | 5,193$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 17c | 5,178$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Thunder | 79c | 5,098$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.66 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Suns | 22c | 5,005$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.05 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Suns | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Thunder | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Thunder | 78c | 4,951$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…e9cebacked Suns | 23c | 4,823$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Suns | 22c | 4,671$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Suns | 14c | 4,632$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.11 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns | 1c | 4,598$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Suns | 16c | 4,471$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 76c | 4,435$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.45 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Suns | 33c | 4,381$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Suns | 19c | 4,367$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Thunder | 77c | 4,350$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.49 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 74c | 4,312$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.33 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.