NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32decb2a7d53b53c96eaf8e738d3a722f34b40b0bca936e0775b786eb17cee5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 54c | 11,180$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.39 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 10,582$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.72 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 51c | 8,402$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.91 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 7,291$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Over | 46c | 6,696$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.03 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 5,834$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.58 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 5,335$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 53c | 5,149$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.63 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 5,073$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Over | 47c | 2,439$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 1,244$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.45 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.19 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,062$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.67 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 49c | 950.36$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 906.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 859.24$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 601.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 54c | 601.12$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 350.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 54c | 233.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 195.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 54c | 189.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 54c | 184.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 47c | 175.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 57c | 171.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 167.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 47c | 131.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 47c | 122.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 54c | 115.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 54c | 90.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Under | 54c | 72.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 58.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 55c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 33.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 54c | 31.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…d7c1backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 54c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 54c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 54c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 54c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 54c | 19.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.