NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c548f8122ba77b5bb1233f015e2ac693de211af97008651eb9ed9eb7c068602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 51c | 270,212$137,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,362.42 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns | 49c | 144,767$70,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,935.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 49c | 28,971$14,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,195.72 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Suns | 49c | 26,025$12,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,752.46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 49c | 24,154$11,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,835.26 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Thunder | 51c | 21,569$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,568.65 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…d5eebacked Suns | 49c | 19,784$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 49c | 18,344$9,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,050.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 54c | 16,193$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.5 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Suns | 49c | 14,616$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.88 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…61aebacked Suns | 49c | 13,641$6,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Thunder | 51c | 10,818$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.98 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Suns | 49c | 6,242$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.46 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…4765backed Suns | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Suns | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Suns | 43c | 5,928$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.59 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Suns | 49c | 5,605$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.55 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,404$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.82 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Thunder | 52c | 4,367$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.71 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 4,087$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.35 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 43c | 3,937$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.06 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Suns | 49c | 3,927$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.23 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.07 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Thunder | 52c | 3,692$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Suns | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.8 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Suns | 49c | 3,272$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.65 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.31 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Suns | 50c | 3,232$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.88 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder | 51c | 3,135$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.22 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Thunder | 47c | 3,128$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.01 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Thunder | 50c | 3,040$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Thunder | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Suns | 49c | 2,822$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.74 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 50c | 2,785$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Suns | 50c | 2,658$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Suns | 51c | 2,646$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.45 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ff02backed Suns | 49c | 2,532$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 53c | 2,195$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Thunder | 50c | 2,111$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Suns | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.91 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Suns | 49c | 1,743$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.07 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Suns | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Suns | 50c | 1,521$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 62c | 1,463$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Thunder | 54c | 1,386$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Thunder | 68c | 1,157$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Suns | 32c | 1,110$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Suns | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Suns | 34c | 1,031$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Thunder | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.55 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Suns | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.16 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Suns | 50c | 863.3$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.65 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 63c | 746.66$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Suns | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Thunder | 46c | 647.59$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…9906backed Thunder | 51c | 610.91$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Suns | 41c | 591.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Thunder | 51c | 446.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Thunder | 51c | 406.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked Suns | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns | 53c | 388.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Thunder | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 51c | 364.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Thunder | 51c | 361.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…4263backed Thunder | 52c | 298.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Thunder | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Suns | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Suns | 50c | 290.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 290.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 51c | 284.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Suns | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 50c | 269.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…5e0bbacked Thunder | 55c | 219.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Suns | 49c | 217.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 52c | 213.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Suns | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Suns | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…fbcdbacked Thunder | 49c | 198.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 50c | 196.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Thunder | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Suns | 49c | 191.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816f…fc9fbacked Thunder | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…5aa4backed Thunder | 52c | 189.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…8860backed Suns | 49c | 186.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Thunder | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Thunder | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…f4f8backed Thunder | 43c | 148.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Suns | 46c | 148.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Suns | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…143cbacked Thunder | 55c | 139.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Thunder | 75c | 133.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns | 42c | 124.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.