TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe87d…9906

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-2.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$457.51
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.82
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.82
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$477.66
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$219.77
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$457.51
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.48
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$99.17
Davidson Wildcats vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.8%+$85.01
UIC Flames vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.3%+$85.28
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 184.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112%+$112.04
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.7%+$96.67
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-10.5)backed Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+86%+$85.96
Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-5.5)backed Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$257.5
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$299.34
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.95
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37.6%+$150.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.