TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks48c46,305$22,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,159.511,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks54c45,019$24,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,708.5236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Hawks43c43,604$18,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,854.382937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks46c43,215$19,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,879.0472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,80029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Hawks52c39,465$20,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,943.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks49c39,215$19,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,077.911,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks47c31,481$14,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,802.143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks51c31,188$15,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,282.211,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Knicks50c29,323$14,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,546.488452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks48c20,600$9,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,88821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Hawks52c19,723$10,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,466.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Knicks58c16,372$9,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,492.610860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks48c15,108$7,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,805.6893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks53c14,577$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.1974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks49c14,254$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Hawks35c13,411$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,716.846152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks52c12,817$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,088.8517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Hawks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9002347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Knicks49c9,694$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.065848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks61c7,736$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks52c5,913$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Hawks51c5,335$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.623554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks63c4,028$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Hawks27c3,819$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.961136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks54c2,817$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Hawks37c2,590$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.876240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c2,501$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks75c2,463$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.871,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Knicks49c2,173$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9510254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hawks40c1,998$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.0217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73aa…fc48backed Knicks47c1,958$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.0169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Hawks75c1,918$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.389349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Hawks51c1,905$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.4121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks50c1,889$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4921152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Hawks42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.992548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Knicks48c1,315$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2431046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks48c1,242$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8129040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Knicks47c1,236$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.924946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdd…1378backed Knicks75c1,224$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.761060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks57c1,068$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…3a2fbacked Hawks36c1,063$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.671546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hawks53c1,030$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.1521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe175…4752backed Hawks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Hawks54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Hawks53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Hawks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Knicks49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.77054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Hawks54c972.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.35945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Knicks50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4855354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Knicks49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.018148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hawks53c943.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.651,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Knicks57c895.1$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.873636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Knicks63c892.32$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.85054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…4679backed Hawks55c888.53$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.073455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hawks28c859.62$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4516050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks47c840$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d6…8a44backed Knicks48c835.43$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.012638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Hawks52c825.91$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.194242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Hawks52c821.78$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.465453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Hawks52c722.54$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.823053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hawks52c691.27$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.0362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Knicks50c679$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.511651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Knicks49c605.32$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3711136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hawks40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9926339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks49c591.33$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Knicks50c586.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Hawks54c579.05$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6710559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Knicks48c521.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1527450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Knicks47c513.63$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Knicks58c504.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.445545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Hawks54c486.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Knicks49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.53161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hawks53c460.23$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3150954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Knicks46c458.76$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea5…3452backed Knicks74c456.92$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.121060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks49c450$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Hawks44c442.31$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0744052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Knicks57c437.3$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7230544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…a2fabacked Knicks47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.642737%10 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Knicks47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.648843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ea…812bbacked Knicks49c409.52$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hawks52c408$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8420051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Knicks48c405.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7315547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks51c404.86$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Hawks53c404.27$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Knicks48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.764047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Knicks48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7620552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567b…d9cabacked Hawks52c401.55$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Hawks59c399.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.446448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Knicks49c397.45$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7511043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Knicks49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.882544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.