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NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Over65c15,167$9,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,794.497243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c14,574$7,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4251,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c11,750$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.931,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c11,591$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over53c7,650$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.5214556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c6,435$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.31,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over55c6,198$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405.3916846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over54c5,364$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.5412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9412745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over54c4,514$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.5612450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,366$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under46c3,848$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.195543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over54c3,501$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.7317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under19c3,258$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.9427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under47c3,060$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.0512850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over52c3,001$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.31,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over54c2,917$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.2961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over53c2,800$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48427246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c2,337$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.92,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Over54c2,311$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.674841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under46c2,176$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.841,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c2,167$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c2,148$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Over53c2,020$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.4427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.410254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under34c1,694$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.21,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over70c1,669$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.2510457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Over71c1,444$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.8414959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over51c1,427$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9510144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under46c1,250$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c1,238$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under55c1,228$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.271,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Over52c1,193$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over69c1,132$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.916457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under31c1,045$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.731,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over53c1,027$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Under21c999.56$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.662650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c996.07$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c983.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c963.61$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under48c908.25$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2918748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over53c874.62$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5510251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over52c868.86$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8122752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c840.87$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.971,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over68c804.16$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over54c777.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over53c733.05$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5212147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c730.55$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c697.81$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under47c679$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8714049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under34c643.38$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.481,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c602.14$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c576.32$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over73c541.5$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.526647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c540.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under29c535.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.9114438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under47c515$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.955843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over47c512.11$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c492.46$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c491.76$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c465.26$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Under47c464.74$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.314763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c461.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.819348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c448.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c426.78$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over69c424.89$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4813342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed Under46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc594…773fbacked Over14c416.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.381030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over16c398.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.725738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over54c397.76$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Over52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.014434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7614355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c386.77$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c386.3$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c380.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under47c379.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3915650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4816749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.613655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaead…ec13backed Under48c353.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc9…625cbacked Over53c348.38$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over52c331.39$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over52c320.79$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under48c308.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under48c308.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.220040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c302.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4314145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under59c296.42$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.533135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under44c289.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over52c289.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4212257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under39c284.87$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under49c276.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.93342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under48c247.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.467350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over43c239.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1912851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under34c225$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under34c225$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under46c212.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.728350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Under34c211$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.497237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under42c208.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.