NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2626bfc704465d7ccf8efe049e2bd8d995e8b8358f9330178e7414799aef3afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Hawks, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Knicks | 65c | 803.71$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Hawks | 34c | 698.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Hawks | 30c | 680.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Hawks | 34c | 637.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Knicks | 79c | 461.65$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Hawks | 34c | 322.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 23c | 310.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hawks | 13c | 299.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Knicks | 64c | 227.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 35c | 209.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks | 72c | 204.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Hawks | 7c | 183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 36c | 181.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Hawks | 44c | 164.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Hawks | 38c | 151.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Knicks | 65c | 148.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 71c | 148.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Hawks | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Hawks | 24c | 122.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Knicks | 63c | 117.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Knicks | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hawks | 33c | 97.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…4c45backed Hawks | 38c | 91.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Knicks | 68c | 88.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Knicks | 65c | 85.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Hawks | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Hawks | 39c | 78.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hawks | 38c | 78.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…62f4backed Knicks | 64c | 75.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Knicks | 64c | 66.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Hawks | 39c | 61.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Knicks | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Knicks | 64c | 44.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks | 75c | 34.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Knicks | 63c | 34.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Knicks | 80c | 33.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Knicks | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…26e5backed Knicks | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Knicks | 69c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…7811backed Knicks | 64c | 21.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…2068backed Knicks | 79c | 17.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks | 65c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. KnicksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.