TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$589,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks50c152,528$76,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,263.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Hawks50c95,949$47,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,974.2617251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks50c58,200$29,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,10043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks57c54,125$30,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,589.0342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hawks46c27,120$12,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,644.659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks51c24,876$12,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,744.31,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks43c18,300$7,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,369.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks53c14,913$7,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,903.691,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c14,437$6,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,751.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks49c13,563$6,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks50c11,252$5,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6261,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks53c11,023$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.9920352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks30c10,041$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.761,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Hawks49c8,943$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,597.436043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Knicks54c8,779$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.5820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks70c6,780$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.8856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks39c6,695$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.4793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks47c6,180$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.414251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Hawks48c4,844$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.8832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks47c4,634$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.751,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks52c4,600$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.9761747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks48c4,532$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.382,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Hawks36c4,007$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.276240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hawks49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9721653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hawks38c3,930$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.21,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks53c3,887$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.2279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d0…5a98backed Knicks54c3,736$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.094257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd90…2541backed Knicks52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick55cpaid-81.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks53c3,384$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks39c3,108$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.351,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks54c2,999$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Hawks48c2,883$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.2412850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks46c2,875$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks53c2,826$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.971,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Hawks47c2,789$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.4322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Knicks53c2,749$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.736543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks54c2,652$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.21,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Hawks48c2,626$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.444032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks47c2,431$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.3238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Hawks47c2,403$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.598248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Knicks79c2,387$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.352878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Hawks48c2,363$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22910556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Hawks47c2,285$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.8118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Hawks43c2,262$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.881952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Hawks47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Hawks47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.967156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Hawks48c2,186$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.6432450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Knicks51c2,157$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.93345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73aa…fc48backed Hawks49c2,043$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Hawks48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5318349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hawks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9631046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Hawks37c1,869$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.6212058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks46c1,810$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks52c1,797$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.4662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Knicks5c1,757$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.322429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks39c1,660$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hawks48c1,614$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.1244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks32c1,511$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.063,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks46c1,491$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks38c1,478$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks53c1,449$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.1965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Knicks54c1,441$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Hawks47c1,434$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Hawks50c1,372$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Knicks54c1,345$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.439455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Hawks47c1,329$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.374045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Knicks52c1,247$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.191957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hawks47c1,226$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.7720051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hawks36c1,186$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.2468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Hawks51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7123251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Knicks52c1,160$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.5117551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Knicks51c1,121$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.798333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Hawks47c1,118$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Knicks53c1,106$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Hawks46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Hawks48c1,045$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Hawks38c1,041$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.168752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Hawks47c1,039$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Knicks54c1,035$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.137051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks50c1,000$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Hawks49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks33c995.09$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.251,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Knicks52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0215753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Knicks52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0220744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9668backed Knicks52c932.35$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.82812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Knicks54c909.52$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.046053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Hawks48c810.57$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.118748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Hawks48c789.17$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3743453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2412542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Knicks54c749.65$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks51c738.63$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Knicks54c730.73$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Hawks48c691.82$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5721848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Knicks71c691.59$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3115252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.