TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Under53c59,751$31,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,082.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over47c27,000$12,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,69039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c23,465$10,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,962.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Under53c18,093$9,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,440.983151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under51c11,869$6,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,815.9174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Over49c9,699$4,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,752.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c5,878$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under73c5,346$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.365350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over51c3,785$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.521,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under35c3,154$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.193,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c2,882$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over45c2,564$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.5926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c2,529$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over49c2,412$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.710556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under54c2,159$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.864841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over47c2,090$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.081,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over26c1,842$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c1,709$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.261,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c1,541$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.361,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,413$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6782,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dac…3b3cbacked Over72c1,366$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over78c1,323$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.5916159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under31c1,304$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over60c1,156$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.771,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c1,112$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.821,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under69c1,071$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5718842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c1,047$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over46c1,044$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9723251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over49c1,024$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.218844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over25c1,023$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b07…98a7backed Under75c1,008$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.883452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over48c961$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Over69c923.59$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.552941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under52c917.45$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.375839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c843.6$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.251,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c836.26$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c816.34$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.461,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under62c732.46$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.816750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over39c730.52$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.322,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over70c705.44$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.862568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Over2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under64c621$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7610457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over38c601.83$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under71c560.36$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c549.55$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Over49c536.73$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under56c534.68$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.44257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over70c531.19$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.3911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under64c514.72$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over47c513.69$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.078450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Under40c508.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.465944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over47c500.46$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.215743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c488.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under40c482.24$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over47c460.81$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.051,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c424$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c417.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4343052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c405.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4118850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Over48c395.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.884647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under53c368.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4316153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under52c365.62$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over55c322.21$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over42c307.76$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.095738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over36c295$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.228537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under50c292.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1613560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Under70c281.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.48952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over39c260.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.293438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under14c227.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under53c225.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Under60c221.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.644955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over47c219.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.058057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under13c211.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c204.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.883647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c200.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over77c199.28$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8719166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc3…6c5abacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Under74c197.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Under65c195.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.913857.9%22 W · 16 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+67.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4884…6886backed Under40c189.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.471560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…3871backed Under54c188.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3753…6a9fbacked Under52c186.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6510745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.28541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c160.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.212,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under36c151.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0331151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c150.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.31,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c149.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c148.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.091,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c147.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.772,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under30c142.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8555751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.