TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$605,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$599,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c219,321$107,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,058.421,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Under50c79,842$39,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,920.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over50c64,006$32,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,003.1320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c35,182$17,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,606.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c33,491$16,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,702.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over50c33,407$16,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,703.45935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under53c32,017$16,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,114.9716547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c26,685$13,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,341.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over61c25,244$15,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,398.8215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Under50c24,250$12,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1251020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c23,377$10,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,987.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c19,059$9,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,528.8939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under48c14,580$6,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,643.9532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over49c11,643$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,705.2812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Over50c11,402$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.462817.9%5 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c9,899$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,068.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c9,757$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.2925248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over50c8,965$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,482.3724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over56c8,470$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.161,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over50c8,449$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.3514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc26…2f8bbacked Over51c8,149$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c7,524$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.6818349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Over49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6753641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c7,477$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.3837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c7,323$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under39c6,795$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.871,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over62c6,583$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over50c6,151$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.695655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under45c5,725$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.0290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Under51c5,523$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.132937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c4,788$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…523cbacked Over50c4,773$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Over50c4,538$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under50c3,955$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c3,882$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.3879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9404951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over50c3,756$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.923943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c3,492$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7462,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c3,406$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c3,073$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.0393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c2,525$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.4670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under43c2,429$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.289651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c2,155$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c2,049$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.3218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,016$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.525,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over51c1,950$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c1,940$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.921943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9702,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Over51c1,905$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.573941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,766$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.311,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over51c1,741$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.14173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over50c1,710$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.0617052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over50c1,638$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.2419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,597$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over49c1,524$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7472245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c1,491$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.518844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over49c1,409$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.3417250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c1,401$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3618241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under51c1,243$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over51c1,120$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.247143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under34c1,045$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Over50c1,025$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.326150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Over50c991.34$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over51c963.81$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5416946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c954.06$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8232450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c861.15$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over51c784.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c782.73$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.951,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under50c765.56$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under51c755.05$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over50c752.72$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.363432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c750.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over52c745.56$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.698339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over50c732.36$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c688.7$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.358450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over5c681.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c674.3$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.261,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under31c661.56$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.751,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4f…ec14backed Over65c659.29$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c648.4$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under51c640.24$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1212257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over57c638.29$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.064257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c613.37$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over71c597.01$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c589.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under54c588.42$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3916750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.