TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5b0…f655

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,560
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.14
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$93.16
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.5
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.1
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$394.41
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$506.25
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$200
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$816.66
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,510
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$384.98
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.67
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$113.93
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.81
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$127.25
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.61
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.02
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+344.7%+$1,514.43
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.05
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.57
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$216.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42%+$206.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$184
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$144
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+195.3%+$1,148.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$405.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.18
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$418
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$862
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+98%+$99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Brandon Nakashima Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$6.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.