TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under62c16,409$10,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,288.011,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e9…1aeabacked Over0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over35c9,501$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.5985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c6,055$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.861,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c4,170$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.141,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c3,650$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over50c3,459$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.5614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over24c3,409$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.221,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over51c3,211$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.4713544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c2,654$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.6137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over57c2,600$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.9814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under50c2,458$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c2,433$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.9589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,355$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over56c2,216$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.021741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over14c2,148$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under51c2,093$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.7965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Over54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.47337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under51c1,788$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under47c1,760$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c1,737$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under47c1,704$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.953941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under50c1,693$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.6110860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c1,623$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.21,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,482$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over61c1,473$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.1616159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over11c1,455$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c1,349$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over54c1,267$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.311,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over55c1,208$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.5218650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under38c1,204$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.121,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over55c1,181$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.585945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over55c1,178$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under46c1,139$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3612649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under52c1,067$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.757150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under51c1,056$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.265545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under28c1,050$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.7116633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,015$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c999.9$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over13c990.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.495738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over55c986.89$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.796233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over52c981.88$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under31c958.57$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.8920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over54c950.55$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.562552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under77c928.59$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5846348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Under79c924.68$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.185054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c903.92$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.112,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c886.73$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over52c877.82$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.4618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under40c850.63$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6519434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed Under47c800.55$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Over55c778.4$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.122941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c776.63$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2161740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Over58c749.39$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.333661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0831354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1313148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under29c705.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Over72c700$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.82254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c695.09$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c636.6$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Over57c625.54$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.567452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c621.14$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.421,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.725133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffb…6373backed Under49c595.03$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Under47c583.97$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c577.49$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over50c576.67$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c575.84$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.972,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d2…9308backed Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ae9…3480backed Over58c568.71$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over63c566.26$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.323641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over59c558.22$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…1a11backed Over63c556.88$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c555.21$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.431,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1ee1backed Over56c552.04$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.082548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c547.51$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c540.15$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.678348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Under47c537.78$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9732450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under37c520.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f4d…1edebacked Over54c495.92$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c492.92$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over15c484.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over45c479.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Under51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e95…bcacbacked Under47c473.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Over54c463.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.247359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0411034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under44c452.83$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over55c444.04$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.224047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over38c437.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3238432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe789…bc92backed Under49c428.24$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c417.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.