NBA · resolved market
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fbf49e41064b7b5f7d8b3c9ec9d7aa60e31d1c77b7db6a51d212390a8618b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1764…cf64backed Yes | 50c | 682.72$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 246.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Yes | 50c | 230.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 51c | 218.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes | 49c | 211.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Yes | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -10.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 49c | 154.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 115.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Yes | 52c | 61.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…0cd5backed Yes | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…8233backed Yes | 51c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed No | 60c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.