TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks44c21,792$9,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,588.5587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9920758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks61c13,726$8,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9b…be80backed Hawks44c9,501$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks56c8,315$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Hawks48c8,206$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.8211333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks44c8,181$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,59993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Knicks52c6,724$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.3714556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Hawks44c4,393$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.818349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks54c3,552$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Knicks57c2,702$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.7412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks43c2,116$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Knicks56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Knicks54c1,749$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.7274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Knicks56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hawks49c1,482$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c1,481$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Hawks13c1,255$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks57c1,196$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks56c1,139$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Knicks52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.914355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Hawks43c896.45$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.488038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks52c790.26$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks41c684.05$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Knicks56c615.69$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1518839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Knicks58c602.84$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8916335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Hawks23c600$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks59c513.12$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks43c431.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hawks44c415.37$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks50c306.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.052,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks52c288.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks55c279.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hawks40c269.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Hawks44c265.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0319434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks56c243$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hawks29c238.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.961,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Knicks63c235.55$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2920055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks41c224.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.271,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks46c223.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Knicks53c221.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.132360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks44c219.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.494,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf444…8bb9backed Knicks64c210.26$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Knicks57c204.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.979454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Knicks51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.042259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Knicks57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7810045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks54c193.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.791,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Knicks56c192.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.843560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Hawks43c192.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6114052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed Knicks54c178.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Knicks57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Knicks57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.493366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks58c168.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Knicks55c125.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.535139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks56c121.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Hawks11c118.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.019046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Hawks43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Knicks51c111.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Knicks57c111.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.619652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Hawks43c107.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Hawks47c102.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.655056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Hawks44c100.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2920547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hawks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Knicks53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9922850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Knicks55c99.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Knicks54c99.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7841227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Knicks52c95.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks43c94.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Hawks24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8431238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Hawks24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Hawks24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Knicks56c87.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.945151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Hawks43c87.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Knicks56c86.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Hawks32c84.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Hawks45c81.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6834342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Knicks51c71.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8644347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Knicks52c69.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.494854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks62c67.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hawks45c65.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6715353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hawks43c65.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5417249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Hawks44c65.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9162049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Hawks47c64.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04e8…029ebacked Knicks57c63.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Hawks46c62.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.744942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Hawks44c61.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0320647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Hawks46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.624454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks54c59.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks46c56.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Knicks57c50.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5717660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Hawks47c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Knicks56c48.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4231955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Knicks55c48.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8911850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Knicks54c48.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3710447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Knicks57c47.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5720554.6%112 W · 93 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Knicks51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3113153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Hawks45c44.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.792744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.