TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over1c2,600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over56c2,270$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over2c1,627$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.27981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c1,530$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.6993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Under72c1,488$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.384067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under33c1,441$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over2c1,380$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c1,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c1,208$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6671,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over52c1,021$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.513231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over3c950$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over2c837.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.387326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over16c802$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over2c799.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over17c702.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c688.43$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under46c674.48$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2719434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under48c613.25$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over25c608$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over7c569.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over11c560$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.213837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under45c514.22$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8213148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under44c499.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9811437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under44c487.42$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9616633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c442.43$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.259652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c408.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c396.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.721,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over23c394.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over26c364.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under44c345.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over57c343.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c313.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under48c303.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over57c292.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over58c290$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5913464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c273.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c262.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca2…3741backed Over56c259.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over57c247.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.269558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over8c240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c231.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under49c208.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5310552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c206.16$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over57c204.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.916656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under43c199.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under43c188$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c184.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over57c171.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over57c169.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4513655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c61…5d06backed Over58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.385145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4831249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c159.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Over62c156.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over64c153.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.838952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…84bcbacked Under74c147.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3311100%11 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+77.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c139.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Under44c131.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.383243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over26c121.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.845738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Under48c117.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3620055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c115.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.663,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…1a11backed Over44c105.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5741050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…2e01backed Over56c97.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.691520%3 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Over46c91.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.152268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over56c86.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.686347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Over57c86.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.367338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over57c79.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Under45c75.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.775848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over56c73.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under46c70.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over51c65.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6714359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c63.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Over47c62.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.882347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57f…930ebacked Over40c62.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Over56c60.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.94856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over58c58.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5426345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c56.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over56c55.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.843745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under43c54.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.251,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under38c53.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Under43c51.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.032744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed Over55c49.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.491618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2514144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over54c47.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7711156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Over55c44.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.333336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2327354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over50c43.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7715353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3425752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x941e…c622backed Over68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.427960.8%48 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.