NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2826436740ea3397538a186f3fc01eaaabf4a8b68ab33d3ea3e1e98b121af3cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Hawks, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks | 65c | 796.38$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Hawks | 41c | 698.58$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 62c | 565.21$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Hawks | 39c | 376.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Hawks | 33c | 287.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Hawks | 15c | 199.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawks | 34c | 141.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Knicks | 66c | 128.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Hawks | 38c | 104.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Knicks | 64c | 76.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks | 63c | 60.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 75c | 55.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hawks | 36c | 48.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Knicks | 64c | 47.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Knicks | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.