TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Hawks47c48,448$22,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,729.259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Knicks53c44,981$23,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,233.895253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hawks46c42,071$19,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,473.2460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks53c29,848$15,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,028.521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks46c25,450$11,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,704.561,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Hawks48c22,897$10,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,990.0920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hawks48c18,000$8,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,719.9916547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Knicks52c17,178$8,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,191.856045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Knicks52c14,888$7,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.735561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks47c13,053$6,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks56c12,608$7,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Knicks53c12,597$6,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920.472937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks51c12,215$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,954.341,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Knicks54c10,903$5,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks53c10,532$5,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.421,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Hawks47c9,064$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.085935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb1d0…5a98backed Knicks54c9,004$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.74257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Hawks51c8,618$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.7315952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks47c8,460$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Knicks52c8,061$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.2612056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Knicks54c7,791$4,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.9532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Knicks53c7,233$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.6212450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hawks49c6,822$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.5763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hawks44c6,589$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks53c5,481$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.9120352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks54c5,194$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.31,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks47c5,165$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.881,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Knicks50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42512745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Knicks54c4,508$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.720843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Hawks49c4,393$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.354445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks46c3,541$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.9387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks52c3,271$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.1861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks54c3,243$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…942ebacked Knicks49c2,714$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.3425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks47c2,127$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.691,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Knicks52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks47c1,988$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Hawks47c1,973$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.385337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks48c1,938$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.0556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Knicks51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.547365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Hawks47c1,898$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.2913563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x115a…c267backed Knicks52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks49c1,832$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…bf20backed Knicks56c1,748$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.9955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Hawks44c1,647$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.829848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.832,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks44c1,386$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Hawks47c1,320$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.43948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Hawks49c1,306$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.3820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Hawks46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.982846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks51c1,208$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks59c1,185$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Knicks52c1,182$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.344841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb12…70a7backed Knicks54c1,171$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Hawks47c1,166$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks45c1,152$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Hawks47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51745146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hawks51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Hawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Knicks52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Hawks51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks47c997.76$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks53c990$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Knicks53c971.64$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.588748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks47c962.37$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Hawks48c959.5$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks53c918.18$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.312542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks51c899.93$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Hawks48c883.83$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8314334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Knicks48c841.65$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6210447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Knicks56c816.11$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Knicks53c773.54$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks47c700.2$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hawks46c669.06$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Knicks53c655$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.854045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks39c634$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hawks47c623.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Knicks55c619.76$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.226647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hawks46c616.13$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d80…c329backed Hawks52c597.66$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Knicks49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.691,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x525e…a8cfbacked Knicks49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3584…639dbacked Knicks49c593.13$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…dff3backed Knicks49c589.06$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5584…6cccbacked Hawks52c588.32$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b3…3519backed Knicks50c562.6$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c57…5d20backed Hawks52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Hawks47c554.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3914052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3a…9827backed Hawks51c553.13$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks53c549.07$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks55c545.91$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.841,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks49c543.34$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…d0babacked Knicks50c543.2$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.