TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$497,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad2b…f091backed Knicks48c145,320$69,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,566.42937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hawks52c137,572$71,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,509.1760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Knicks47c82,599$38,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,163.2487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Hawks52c56,536$29,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,398.768148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks47c39,352$18,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,856.651,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Hawks54c36,015$19,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,44817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Hawks53c30,749$16,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,297.1120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Knicks48c21,314$10,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,083.074847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Hawks52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4008038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Hawks53c17,941$9,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,508.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks53c10,189$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.261,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Knicks48c9,467$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,923.047852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Hawks53c9,127$4,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.1512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks49c8,982$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,572.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hawks52c7,989$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,154.3337539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Knicks48c6,825$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.875947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Knicks48c6,789$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.345442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2071…e579backed Knicks48c6,684$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks53c6,684$3,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks48c6,255$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hawks53c6,067$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.3963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Knicks48c5,651$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.694951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Knicks47c5,384$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.9320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hawks51c4,887$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.349741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Knicks48c4,787$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.4918241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Hawks53c4,584$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.59743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6232…7078backed Hawks52c3,938$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks46c3,494$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.891,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Knicks49c3,408$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…76babacked Hawks54c3,238$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.491353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks49c3,226$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.3156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks47c3,089$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.491,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks51c2,588$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Knicks49c2,581$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.459140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks47c2,430$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.0970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Hawks54c2,208$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.515341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Hawks52c2,148$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.5913563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hawks53c2,022$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks53c2,022$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks53c2,022$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks53c2,022$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Hawks45c1,980$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks57c1,978$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Hawks52c1,875$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.0822036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Hawks54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.420945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c1…a528backed Hawks45c1,741$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.672445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks8c1,722$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.841,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Knicks48c1,663$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Knicks59c1,659$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.756058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Hawks52c1,602$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Hawks54c1,549$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.75945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Hawks53c1,457$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.0229554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Hawks55c1,428$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.6315753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Hawks51c1,342$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hawks52c1,320$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks53c1,318$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Knicks66c1,289$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1633837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Hawks40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9921142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Knicks48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Knicks53c1,210$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.6319245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Hawks47c1,179$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.846341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Knicks47c1,152$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Knicks68c1,127$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2257444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Knicks46c1,092$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.7617249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Knicks47c1,050$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.3719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks51c1,014$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Hawks52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Knicks48c984.98$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.194647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks52c982.54$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.391,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hawks50c969.3$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.716050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Knicks48c963.29$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.915048%24 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Hawks52c960$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.22544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hawks51c957.71$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Hawks40c940.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.958756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Hawks53c917.41$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks22c874.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.673,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Knicks51c841.19$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Hawks53c823.98$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Hawks59c821.62$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.817852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Knicks48c706.42$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks52c654.05$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Knicks48c647.89$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Knicks48c635.37$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef3…50a5backed Hawks51c633.74$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hawks53c630.11$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks46c629.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6329040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hawks53c623.45$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Knicks48c608.25$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Hawks53c553.78$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.52653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Hawks54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.722842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Hawks54c538.77$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.755044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks54c506.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Hawks53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3a…0ec0backed Hawks51c483.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Hawks55c454.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.994346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Hawks53c429.95$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks53c419.6$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.