TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26fc…41df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.52
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.11
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$78.35
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$162.46
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.52
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$93.41
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.06
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$302.69
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$54.42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$55.25
Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$65.33
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$108.06
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$98.82
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.96
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$95.93
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$89.24
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.1
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$119.67
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.77
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.83
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$210.9
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
ACF Fiorentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+164.8%+$31.73
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$82.88
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+200%+$429.27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.79
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.38
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.95
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$248.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.