Champions League · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38208f8c8ce3537748394a6f71bb5768ee3a852b6875ba68af30b41f5963c1b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb4b…ff07backed No | 61c | 4,686$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 39c | 614.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 39c | 348.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…f397backed Yes | 39c | 312.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…9ecabacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…feecbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes | 39c | 135.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…0bedbacked Yes | 39c | 127.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…4e6abacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…2168backed Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…fa33backed Yes | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a8…174fbacked Yes | 39c | 98.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 60c | 91.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…77ccbacked Yes | 39c | 86.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 39c | 72.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…73c9backed Yes | 39c | 63.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 39c | 62.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259f…14d5backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 39c | 36.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 61c | 35.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 39c | 34.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Yes | 39c | 30.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…d488backed No | 64c | 21.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Alexander Sorloth: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ferran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.