TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdac1…badd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
576
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT31171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 311 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+602.3%+$9,090.6
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$43.6
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$312.48
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$559.96
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46%+$601.37
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.99
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,907.95
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$419.98
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$360
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.79
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.98
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,914.97
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295.24
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$312.8
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$98.99
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$243.71
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$133.98
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$314.99
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$465
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.65
Showing 25 of 311 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT15960.4%96 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Will Jalin Turner win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.65
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.84
Will Kauê Fernandes win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.65
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$870
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+124%+$933.49
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.91
Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.58
Will Milos Janicic win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$65.16
Will Noah Gugnon win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.5
Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+236%+$671.54
Will Michael Oliveira win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Uroš Medic win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.63
Will Bogdan Grad win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4
Will Navajo Stirling win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.77
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.74
Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$136
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$314.98
Will Ludovit Klein win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$93
Will Mateusz Rebecki win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.1
Will Sam Patterson win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.38
Will Magomed Ankalaev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Rizvan Kuniev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.39
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$67.32
Will Magomed Zaynukov win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$490
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Mohamed Salah: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.44
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.8
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Declan Rice: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35
Eberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$115
Ismaila Sarr: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.77
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.25
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Dominic Calvert-Lewin: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Kai Havertz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$45
Chris Wood: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.3
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.38
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$199.6
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$89.99
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.04
Hugo Ekitike: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.99
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+155%+$54.7
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.49
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.04
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.68
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.75
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$169.51
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$308
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.72
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$57.65
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$247.36
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.01
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Mikel Oyarzabal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.76
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.6
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,892
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LYON qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Cloud9 qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Danish People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.