F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e91c225cb1282220b2e7f4d2f0dccf409c373aeb727201b98241c1c6ef3982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 3c | 1,230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 25c | 520.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 67c | 461.85$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 49c | 449.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 69c | 356.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 68c | 337.33$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 68c | 272.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 62c | 175.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…cc3abacked No | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…bf3cbacked Yes | 56c | 140.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 30c | 122.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 33c | 90.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…c969backed No | 40c | 88.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 77.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 57.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 57.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…9128backed No | 37c | 53.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 55c | 45.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…26b9backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…24a7backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…da52backed Yes | 69c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…e1a6backed Yes | 63c | 16.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.