F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9d65cbaf9e8d71c3500794c4535a95e3096a203a80e01fb20028c383bf6276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65f8…91efbacked Yes | 13c | 1,073$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 24c | 683.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 4c | 559.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 18c | 457.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 422.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 24c | 409.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 20c | 400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 39c | 332.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 312.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 19c | 306.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 17c | 236.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 226.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…210ebacked Yes | 13c | 215.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…0e4dbacked Yes | 17c | 203.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 153.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b801backed No | 80c | 125.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 11c | 118.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 16c | 108.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…ccf3backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Yes | 17c | 65.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 15c | 64.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…4083backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 80c | 49.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…4058backed Yes | 51c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.