F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d1d76a6e7c6d61468a6c63ce6aae3443f15be05ee0acac44e8ce44a27ae8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 78c | 1,875$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 790.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 32c | 674.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 59c | 400.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…8619backed Yes | 60c | 320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 28c | 263$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 31c | 232$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 51c | 180.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 37c | 166$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 164.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 30c | 107.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 63c | 104.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed No | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 70c | 96.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…0b37backed Yes | 77c | 84.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…f299backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 64.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…938fbacked No | 63c | 63.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…a829backed Yes | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 20c | 51.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…9755backed Yes | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…6ed9backed Yes | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 73c | 18.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…1e57backed Yes | 80c | 13.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…980cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.