F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623d892683774a4757d3359c31fed39715992decdddff0ff254a6db700278fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Yes | 49c | 505.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 50c | 487.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 50c | 339.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…9128backed Yes | 50c | 199.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 71c | 152$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed No | 23c | 140.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 24c | 108$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 66c | 98.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 96.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 78c | 78.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed No | 40c | 62.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +319.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 52c | 52.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…40f1backed Yes | 67c | 51.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 69c | 43.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 39.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…8b15backed Yes | 52c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked No | 55c | 36.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 54c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…b78fbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…f8c5backed Yes | 75c | 29.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…1cf0backed Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…b55abacked No | 55c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…7f32backed Yes | 52c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ba…97d0backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…29a2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…30b7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…e006backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…9755backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.