TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb64f…b78f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+160.1%+$32.01
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$59.8
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.16
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$29.69
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.32
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.92
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.02
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.99
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$30.81
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$25.82
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.79
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.19
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.52
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$70.48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$37.69
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$13.3
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$30.95
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.98
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.65
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$44.22
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs. France (To Advance)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.97
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$69.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.