Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a994a42d4209ec88694284228eb51a427a276e1d1cb81ec4f56d271f12d3c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSGof PSG, Liverpool
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Liverpool | 75c | 33,875$25,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,406.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked PSG | 25c | 21,886$5,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,415.73 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed PSG | 37c | 16,736$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,563.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked PSG | 25c | 13,069$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,801.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Liverpool | 75c | 10,411$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed PSG | 48c | 10,381$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.77 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed PSG | 31c | 8,751$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.47 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Liverpool | 76c | 7,085$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.06 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Liverpool | 66c | 4,798$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed PSG | 24c | 4,087$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed PSG | 36c | 3,418$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.29 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Liverpool | 64c | 2,931$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed PSG | 43c | 2,785$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.46 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Liverpool | 58c | 2,631$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.95 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Liverpool | 50c | 2,482$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.7 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PSG | 75c | 2,259$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.09 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Liverpool | 59c | 2,063$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed PSG | 25c | 2,061$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.36 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…29b5backed Liverpool | 68c | 1,962$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Liverpool | 55c | 1,953$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.82 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked PSG | 17c | 1,904$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.99 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Liverpool | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed PSG | 25c | 1,438$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PSG | 34c | 1,316$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.66 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked PSG | 34c | 1,220$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.15 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed PSG | 28c | 1,109$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.42 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed PSG | 25c | 1,007$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.2 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed PSG | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed PSG | 54c | 926.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…d7d6backed Liverpool | 76c | 873.91$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Liverpool | 70c | 866.32$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…d186backed PSG | 25c | 812.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…8520backed Liverpool | 64c | 747.05$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Liverpool | 55c | 728.91$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…c62bbacked PSG | 21c | 698.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…9c79backed PSG | 27c | 644.44$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed PSG | 43c | 638.23$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.79 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed PSG | 47c | 636.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Liverpool | 70c | 627.24$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.04 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed PSG | 26c | 580$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed PSG | 43c | 570.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked PSG | 45c | 540.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed PSG | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Liverpool | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed PSG | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked PSG | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Liverpool | 64c | 482.39$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Liverpool | 59c | 470$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Liverpool | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Liverpool | 64c | 435.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed PSG | 25c | 400.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…b997backed PSG | 37c | 354.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked PSG | 36c | 344.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed PSG | 35c | 338.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed PSG | 23c | 325.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Liverpool | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed PSG | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…2a4bbacked PSG | 35c | 296.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Liverpool | 67c | 292.1$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…5dcdbacked PSG | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…34febacked PSG | 37c | 269.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed PSG | 37c | 266.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Liverpool | 53c | 265.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed PSG | 36c | 253.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…0af7backed PSG | 24c | 251.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liverpool | 60c | 244.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…aad5backed PSG | 44c | 228.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed PSG | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed PSG | 35c | 221.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…3152backed PSG | 24c | 208.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Liverpool | 62c | 205.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed PSG | 35c | 200.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liverpool | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed PSG | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…7f44backed PSG | 24c | 199.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Liverpool | 73c | 192.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked PSG | 27c | 192.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Liverpool | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed PSG | 43c | 172.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed PSG | 43c | 170.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…50ddbacked Liverpool | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Liverpool | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PSG | 27c | 151.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…1eb3backed Liverpool | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed PSG | 26c | 143$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed PSG | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…656fbacked PSG | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +1,800%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed PSG | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Liverpool | 67c | 132.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Liverpool | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Liverpool | 56c | 121.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed PSG | 36c | 116$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…6962backed PSG | 41c | 115.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Liverpool | 59c | 114.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Liverpool | 55c | 109.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked PSG | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed PSG | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Liverpool | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed PSG | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked PSG | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?this page
- Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?Barcelona won
- Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?Bayern Munich won
- Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?Dortmund won
- Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?Aston Villa won
- Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?Inter Milan won
- Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?Arsenal won
- Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.