Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9847c8e904a28a2764ae7450dc4520bb7d3b78064a46f8cc0b9e782b21d905a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bayern Munichof Bayern Munich, Leverkusen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Leverkusen | 42c | 67,994$28,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,886.18 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Bayern Munich | 58c | 56,454$32,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,967.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Leverkusen | 4c | 7,008$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Leverkusen | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bayern Munich | 58c | 4,782$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.05 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 3,714$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.46 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bayern Munich | 59c | 2,190$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bayern Munich | 59c | 2,083$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.03 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Bayern Munich | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bayern Munich | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Leverkusen | 4c | 1,484$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Bayern Munich | 62c | 1,296$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d0b1backed Leverkusen | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bayern Munich | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Leverkusen | 3c | 887.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Leverkusen | 38c | 825.7$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.77 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 812.17$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Leverkusen | 4c | 810.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Leverkusen | 44c | 810.48$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Bayern Munich | 62c | 781.1$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 729.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Leverkusen | 6c | 620.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Leverkusen | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…662cbacked Leverkusen | 4c | 533.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Leverkusen | 4c | 532.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Leverkusen | 5c | 518.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…ea99backed Leverkusen | 39c | 385.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 349.18$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 342.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Leverkusen | 39c | 333.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Leverkusen | 40c | 312.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Bayern Munich | 60c | 299.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bayern Munich | 57c | 278.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Leverkusen | 39c | 265.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Leverkusen | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Leverkusen | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Leverkusen | 44c | 224.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…ff79backed Bayern Munich | 57c | 214.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Bayern Munich | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Bayern Munich | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…cacfbacked Leverkusen | 14c | 192.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…422ebacked Bayern Munich | 59c | 150.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Leverkusen | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Leverkusen | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Leverkusen | 39c | 100.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Leverkusen | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Leverkusen | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Leverkusen | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Leverkusen | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Leverkusen | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +159%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Leverkusen | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Bayern Munich | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Leverkusen | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f430backed Bayern Munich | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b3…4369backed Bayern Munich | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…fd4abacked Bayern Munich | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…4541backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 67.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Bayern Munich | 63c | 67.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…8672backed Leverkusen | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…d9f8backed Bayern Munich | 58c | 55.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Leverkusen | 38c | 52.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Leverkusen | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Leverkusen | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a0e0backed Bayern Munich | 60c | 41.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Bayern Munich | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…d91cbacked Bayern Munich | 61c | 38.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7581backed Leverkusen | 39c | 38.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…eca7backed Leverkusen | 39c | 37.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae5…bd27backed Leverkusen | 36c | 35.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ef…2b9fbacked Leverkusen | 39c | 33.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…6abbbacked Bayern Munich | 61c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…848abacked Bayern Munich | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…c8acbacked Leverkusen | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…2086backed Bayern Munich | 62c | 28.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…a601backed Bayern Munich | 64c | 28.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…6060backed Leverkusen | 36c | 28.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…de69backed Leverkusen | 39c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…129cbacked Leverkusen | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Bayern Munich | 56c | 24.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…6e62backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…5155backed Bayern Munich | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Bayern Munich | 61c | 22.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…7669backed Bayern Munich | 62c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 22.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…6a76backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…2bd5backed Bayern Munich | 64c | 20.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Bayern Munich | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…bc50backed Bayern Munich | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Bayern Munich | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…ad51backed Bayern Munich | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…2a89backed Bayern Munich | 63c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…5087backed Bayern Munich | 64c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…2c85backed Bayern Munich | 70c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?this page
- Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?Barcelona won
- Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?Dortmund won
- Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?Aston Villa won
- Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?Inter Milan won
- Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?Arsenal won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?PSG won
- Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.