Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5521bb06d365fdcb768ec6bffd1d4233df98d0135d7de9c9560c2b3c11e80ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Milanof Feyenoord, Inter Milan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Feyenoord | 2c | 3,706$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Feyenoord | 7c | 2,240$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Feyenoord | 18c | 1,947$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Feyenoord | 5c | 1,718$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Feyenoord | 15c | 1,085$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Feyenoord | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Feyenoord | 14c | 685.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Feyenoord | 3c | 649$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4f…9ef1backed Feyenoord | 14c | 457.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Feyenoord | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Feyenoord | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Feyenoord | 16c | 202.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Feyenoord | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Feyenoord | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Feyenoord | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked Feyenoord | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Feyenoord | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Feyenoord | 13c | 84.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5b…0749backed Feyenoord | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b3…4369backed Feyenoord | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?this page
- Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?Barcelona won
- Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?Bayern Munich won
- Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?Dortmund won
- Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?Aston Villa won
- Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?Arsenal won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?PSG won
- Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.