TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ff4…55bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 61 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.53
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.31
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.58
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.44
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.09
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.29
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.55
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.24
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.71
Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.3
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$29.6
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$26.8
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$39
Ramos vs. Oflibacked Ramos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Delijabacked Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinovbacked Gustafsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.45
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.4
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+91.9%+$43.09
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Trump endorse Conor McGregor for President of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will the U.S. military implement transgender ban? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+119.9%+$34.83
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1883.3%15 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.5%+$51.9
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+166%+$312
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$15.4
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$84
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$22.31
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$144.8
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+65.4%+$62.73
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+91.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will the Champions League Final be decided in a penalty shoot-out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+2,281%+$958
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Harry Kane be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Feyenoord · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+740.3%+$352.4
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.26
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.03
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$32.8
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+131.8%+$39.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$4.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.