Music · resolved market
Ye divorce before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0222b1c5a75a02b29aaa80da6a4a49e8ff3a5055a38e8f9c1ec16648d556e688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 27c | 7,701$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.58 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes | 60c | 7,304$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 4,559$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 71c | 4,306$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 15c | 4,011$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 77c | 3,987$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 78c | 2,404$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.25 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed Yes | 11c | 1,882$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 69c | 1,746$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…ef38backed Yes | 12c | 1,642$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…1493backed No | 78c | 1,618$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 69c | 1,537$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,359$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 8c | 1,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 22c | 1,145$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 75c | 1,000$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 80c | 1,000$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 7c | 916.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 29c | 839$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked Yes | 10c | 821$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 16cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 6c | 804.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 5c | 783.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 25c | 720$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 77c | 715.06$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5b75backed No | 78c | 700$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…86e1backed Yes | 2c | 694.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 5c | 671.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 7c | 618.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 617.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 7c | 555.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Yes | 19c | 532.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed Yes | 30c | 506.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 12c | 502$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 32c | 501.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed No | 73c | 499.76$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…61bcbacked No | 71c | 493.8$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 484.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 32c | 464.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 26c | 459.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…7560backed Yes | 7c | 372.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 5c | 369.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed No | 75c | 328.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 7c | 299.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…2d90backed No | 79c | 295.54$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 11c | 275.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 8c | 261.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee85…7777backed Yes | 8c | 261.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…047ebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d63cbacked Yes | 4c | 246.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 25c | 241.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…322ebacked Yes | 14c | 233.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5d…553cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…b571backed Yes | 26c | 195.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…9c2fbacked No | 74c | 179.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…294ebacked Yes | 7c | 160.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…926ebacked Yes | 23c | 153.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 150.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…abb8backed Yes | 40c | 143.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…b083backed Yes | 28c | 143.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…c840backed Yes | 26c | 141.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 25c | 137.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…35d9backed No | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 12c | 125.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…ae11backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 70c | 118.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 31c | 117.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 113.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…cfafbacked No | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…0fb6backed No | 62c | 103.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 30c | 95.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 22c | 88.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bc…a734backed Yes | 34c | 85.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 18c | 81.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…d4e3backed Yes | 25c | 80.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 26c | 78.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 26c | 77.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…b8dcbacked Yes | 32c | 61.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…5672backed No | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 70c | 58.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…7254backed No | 71c | 56.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e0…e597backed Yes | 28c | 54.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…9e97backed Yes | 32c | 51.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 29c | 44.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…ac4bbacked No | 70c | 42.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 53c | 41.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…1aeabacked Yes | 32c | 31.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.