TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d7d…928a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4148.8%20 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+372.8%+$372.82
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300.33
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$71.11
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+90.5%+$45.23
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+1,900%+$380
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+164.5%+$164.52
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$154.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+520.6%+$5,206.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$110.52
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$149.5
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+527.6%+$2,902.02
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+185.7%+$278.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$152.27
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Ourense CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+222.6%+$133.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+145.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+78.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+177.8%+$124.44
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ye divorce before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.