TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Houston vs. Baylor

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof Houston, Baylor
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Baylor58c42,835$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Baylor55c25,757$14,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,133.228549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Baylor16c25,400$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston46c21,601$9,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,680.429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Houston40c18,078$7,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,846.7216234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Baylor55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Baylor43c14,658$6,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,270.913357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Houston46c14,000$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,56012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Houston43c11,637$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,633.2693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Houston74c10,591$7,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.3664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Baylor54c10,027$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.99540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Houston43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Baylor54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4007944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Houston67c8,721$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.5326750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Houston45c7,144$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Baylor17c7,065$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.7919842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Houston45c5,451$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.9632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Houston78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.213060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Houston44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Baylor15c4,983$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.2826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Houston45c4,283$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.7452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baylor55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Baylor17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Baylor19c3,617$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baylor16c2,836$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4540244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Baylor56c2,791$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.1120450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Houston44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston43c2,269$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.132,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Baylor57c2,100$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.5615751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston78c1,720$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Houston75c1,457$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.8213933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Baylor31c1,328$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Baylor33c1,288$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.221560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Houston78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Houston77c1,054$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.382080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Baylor26c1,008$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26511221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Houston45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baylor55c997$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.3517361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Houston39c960$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.613417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Houston45c869.39$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.163948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Baylor17c863.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Baylor3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25476.4%3 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Houston72c826.77$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5310664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Houston76c789$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1363243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Houston80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Houston74c621.89$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Baylor22c600.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5226939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Houston61c573$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.667856.4%44 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor23c539.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Houston44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Baylor57c472$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2681735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Houston56c466$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1820553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Houston77c457.4$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed Houston45c446.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Houston60c420.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0911854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Baylor13c367.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.382343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Houston65c350.54$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdafb…0bfcbacked Baylor55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…3f7abacked Houston79c319.52$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7a…d80abacked Houston65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Baylor4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Houston46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16210848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59c…e944backed Houston75c299.7$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.943100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db9…ec0abacked Houston79c296.72$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Houston64c285.44$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1139847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Houston44c285.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7828440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5203…0312backed Baylor55c259.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…16b1backed Houston80c251.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Houston80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Baylor43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce91…9c9fbacked Houston55c225.45$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.454136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Houston74c223.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.612564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Baylor45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Houston45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Houston44c206.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.586847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Baylor57c201.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Houston75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61b…edd5backed Houston77c199$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Baylor16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Houston60c166.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.799341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Baylor46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Houston77c153$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…74c9backed Houston61c148.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff6…d78bbacked Houston68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11bc…b2a5backed Houston73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8079…3469backed Houston78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Baylor16c123.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.465223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed Baylor47c118.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.982630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Baylor12c115$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db3…7febbacked Houston45c109.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.92128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston49c109.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Houston47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Baylor50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Houston62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Houston80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Houston44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Houston45c97.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc150…eadcbacked Houston71c80.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3126…9dabbacked Houston74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…55b1backed Baylor25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.