TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7de0…7c66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
608
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 405 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.89
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$21
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+77%+$39.04
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$12.22
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.57
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$27.43
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$7.44
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.26
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$45.65
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.73
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.78
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$22.96
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$36.16
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$29.13
Showing 25 of 405 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST11027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+2,220.1%+$888.03
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.6%+$286.43
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$398
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$941.12
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+109.6%+$288.53
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+74.8%+$334.21
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$461.3
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$220
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+291.1%+$1,006.78
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.6%+$34.47
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+609.2%+$382.4
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$69.34
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+359.3%+$347.46
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$214.64
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$157.26
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+352.5%+$686.86
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$572.55
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+290%+$576.12
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$305.6
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$170
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99.31
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$81.32
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79.11
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$400
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$306.66
Army vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+43.1%+$215.71
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.04
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$49.22
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56%+$30.54
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$7.8
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.29
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$25.56
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$8.33
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
USC Trojans vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.