Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05eec7f96b04c81dfee7ebf538409e0e6c7be08b7c6bd69bad3b02b6f160dfe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Arizona Wildcats, Michigan Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,291,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,474,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,291,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 970,000$485,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 734,338$363,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370,665.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 506,918$258,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258,528.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Michigan Wolverines | 66c | 408,516$269,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,123.39 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 253,647$128,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,166.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 251,865$125,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,929.52 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 215,483$109,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,896.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 188,595$111,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,563.24 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Arizona Wildcats | 0c | 188,012$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 160,265$79,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,732.75 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 126,368$61,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,447.52 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 108,804$53,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,490.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 106,568$51,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,152.64 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Arizona Wildcats | 2c | 101,180$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 97,004$48,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,501.94 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 96,005$48,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,962.57 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 81,294$39,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,834 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 69,029$36,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,443.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 60,453$29,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,017.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 59,219$28,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,425.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 58,212$29,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,911.88 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Michigan Wolverines | 72c | 57,050$41,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,832.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Arizona Wildcats | 1c | 49,863$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Arizona Wildcats | 38c | 48,721$18,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,307.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 48,646$23,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,349.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 47,436$27,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,340.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 46,428$23,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,214.18 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…f61cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 46,034$23,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,096.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 45,000$21,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,149.99 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…b872backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 41,104$20,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,752.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Wildcats | 33c | 38,594$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.72 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 38,579$18,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,788.48 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…0a65backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 38,353$19,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,409.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 38,223$19,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,346.94 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 0c | 32,626$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 27,687$13,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,926.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 26,829$12,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,877.91 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Arizona Wildcats | 23c | 25,366$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…7e60backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 24,938$12,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,970.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Wildcats | 22c | 24,852$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 24,743$12,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,371.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 23,535$11,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,833.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 62c | 23,316$14,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,768.81 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Arizona Wildcats | 32c | 22,858$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arizona Wildcats | 3c | 22,159$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.34 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Wildcats | 25c | 22,087$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Wildcats | 22c | 21,661$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Wildcats | 32c | 21,401$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.65 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 20,500$10,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 20,158$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 20,013$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,748.16 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 19,459$10,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,340.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 18,948$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Arizona Wildcats | 13c | 18,887$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 16,985$8,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.53 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…d340backed Arizona Wildcats | 14c | 16,138$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…b163backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 16,133$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 14,997$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.67 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Arizona Wildcats | 17c | 14,729$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.03 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…2757backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 14,696$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 14,661$7,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 14,484$7,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,148.74 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 14,400$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.93 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…d516backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 14,310$7,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 13,535$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 13,405$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,524.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 14c | 13,202$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Wildcats | 11c | 12,856$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 12,526$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 12,212$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.63 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 64c | 11,951$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 11,404$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 10,903$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.51 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 10,669$6,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.68 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 10,595$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Arizona Wildcats | 33c | 10,350$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Michigan Wolverines | 71c | 10,215$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Arizona Wildcats | 9c | 10,168$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 10c | 10,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 9,850$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 9,726$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9e…de51backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…373bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 9,425$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 9,336$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.89 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Arizona Wildcats | 1c | 8,965$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 8,725$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.55 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Arizona Wildcats | 38c | 8,679$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 8,362$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.47 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona Wildcats | 7c | 8,166$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…4090backed Arizona Wildcats | 27c | 8,121$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 8,000$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.09 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…3cd9backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 7,905$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 7,502$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Michigan Wolverines | 68c | 7,439$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesthis page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 160.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 164.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 167.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.