Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5c40e5a3295d229c706c886a14083967945a3a75063ed619b31aea1048176e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 188,705$100,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,013.47 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 153,667$72,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,443.73 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 63,638$32,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,455.23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michigan Wolverines | 71c | 55,405$39,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,273.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 22,269$10,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,802.36 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 21,833$11,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,134.73 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 19,777$9,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 17,411$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,087.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 17,302$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.01 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 16,987$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Arizona Wildcats | 15c | 14,235$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 14,161$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,363.95 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Arizona Wildcats | 1c | 13,627$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 10,773$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…080fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 9,908$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 9,246$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Wildcats | 55c | 8,883$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.28 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 8,002$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Arizona Wildcats | 27c | 7,580$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 6,478$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 6,264$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 5,522$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…b330backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 5,278$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.95 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 4,825$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.42 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.98 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 4,525$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.58 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Michigan Wolverines | 78c | 3,799$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 3,735$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 3,661$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.13 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 3,600$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…b872backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 3,589$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 3,194$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,460$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.98 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…96f2backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,970$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 1,968$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 1,822$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,513$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.72 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 1,451$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.15 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 1,434$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 1,351$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.07 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Arizona Wildcats | 12c | 1,249$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Wildcats | 36c | 1,137$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.34 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…1565backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 998.15$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.07 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 973.79$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Wildcats | 30c | 958$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Arizona Wildcats | 34c | 847.41$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 841.16$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 799.81$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 644.33$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan Wolverines | 65c | 637.25$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 630.58$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 599.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…78aabacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 597.4$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d1dabacked Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 590.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 555.31$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 66c | 453.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 433.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 421.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 42c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 335$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 62c | 325.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 319.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 306.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…bbc5backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 279.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 278.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 259.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…e640backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 225.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 216.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…fd0bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 8c | 216.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 211.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 209.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 206.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 203.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…6cd9backed Arizona Wildcats | 16c | 201.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 46c | 195.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 182.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…4b49backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 181.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 160.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 164.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 167.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.