Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50294abc2a69dd1e2de319110785bb0cd696df8297a34ddb02a8208739f4bbbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 67,963$33,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,580.91 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 52,831$26,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,887.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 27,261$13,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,811.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 48c | 26,480$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,769.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 52c | 23,117$12,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,020.86 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Under | 52c | 22,198$11,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,435.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.98 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 53c | 18,256$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 14,840$7,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,641.56 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 13,940$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,712.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 13,294$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.02 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 48c | 12,598$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Over | 49c | 10,104$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 50c | 7,935$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 51c | 7,377$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.05 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 56c | 7,182$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 47c | 6,283$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.07 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 49c | 6,135$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.09 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Under | 33c | 5,817$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 5,797$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,734$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Under | 49c | 5,019$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.67 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under | 46c | 4,890$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Under | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 48c | 4,237$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.01 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 4,094$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.79 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 51c | 4,056$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.53 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Over | 53c | 4,040$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 1c | 3,974$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under | 50c | 3,594$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,447$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.69 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 45c | 3,075$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.42 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 2,780$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.93 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 55c | 2,642$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,452$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.78 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 26c | 2,380$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 2,130$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.2 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Under | 56c | 1,973$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 1,824$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.42 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Over | 49c | 1,607$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.66 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 1,303$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Over | 50c | 1,271$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Under | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Over | 49c | 999.9$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 973.8$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…ed36backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 49c | 804.6$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 49c | 799.94$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 51c | 799.12$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 778.79$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 77c | 773.18$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Under | 53c | 731.6$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 45c | 707.91$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 694.62$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Under | 38c | 645.26$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 48c | 606.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 49c | 588.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…eeabbacked Under | 19c | 560.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 44c | 516.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 56c | 485.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 56c | 472.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 58c | 446.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 51c | 422.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 46c | 421.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 53c | 409.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 409.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked Under | 51c | 407.94$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 48c | 399.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 51c | 398.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 52c | 375.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…7432backed Under | 43c | 365.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 365.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 66c | 362.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Under | 51c | 351.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 55c | 349$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 55c | 341.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 51c | 312.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 51c | 303.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…3ba3backed Under | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 36c | 273.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Under | 33c | 272.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 7c | 262.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 52c | 251.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5this page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 160.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 164.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 167.5Under won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-4.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.