TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96ac…2c21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.28
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104.66
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.01
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+760.1%+$14,719.51
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.48
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.91
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$2,479.5
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.35
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,639
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+330.1%+$769.02
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$689.73
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.81
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.87
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$3,680
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.35
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.13
The Masters 2026: Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+115.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.97
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.67
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,556Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,597.46
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$129.76
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+39.6%+$859.66
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,612Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+99.7%+$2,604.62
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,949.08
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$343.96
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+2,211.8%+$4,073.77
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,586.22
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,188.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$176.54
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.07
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$67.49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.16
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470.37
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
Evacuation of Tehran ordered in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$393.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$22.1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.38
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.58
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.35
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$322.32
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$100
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$82.36
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$166.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$8.04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.56
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.1%+$165.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.65
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$25.32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$42.67
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.21
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$417.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+218.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73%+$35.92
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$850
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$35.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$355.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.