Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04df0cf01d56dda2546c28bb84a02ee46322a09d2e0d41b73ad8484bcf158e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3522…188fbacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 36,640$11,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,930.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 17,715$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.73 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 12,435$8,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.56 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 11,982$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.65 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 6,069$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.18 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 5,927$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 5,114$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.72 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 4,580$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.34 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Evil Geniuses | 10c | 4,568$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 3,731$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.68 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 3,418$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.73 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 2,164$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 1,830$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 1,768$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.93 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,750$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,669$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,470$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 1,462$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Evil Geniuses | 12c | 1,434$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 1,305$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.72 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 1,256$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,256$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.94 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,158$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 1,043$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Evil Geniuses | 22c | 944.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 826.36$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 725.88$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 709.64$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 685.12$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 644$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 34c | 633.76$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 599.94$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 592.66$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb4fbacked Evil Geniuses | 28c | 573.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…270abacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Evil Geniuses | 14c | 474.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 451.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 448.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 441.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d80…ef57backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 432.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 421.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 420.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 385.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 374.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 347.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 345.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 333.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 330.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Evil Geniuses | 4c | 327.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 317.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 313.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Evil Geniuses | 21c | 306.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 300.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 289$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 284.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses | 13c | 280.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 279.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…46f8backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 277.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Evil Geniuses | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 230.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 208.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 199.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 6c | 190.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 189.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 186.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…59c6backed Evil Geniuses | 7c | 182.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 166.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 166.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 166.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 160.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 154.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 154.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 153.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 151.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 133.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 124.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed Evil Geniuses | 22c | 120.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 115.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 109.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 109.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 107.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses | 29c | 106.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 102.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegathis page
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.