Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f4a7ae6837af9d746f843175bc353b2cc68070c83e007137cc560229108030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 2,808$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.19 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 1,692$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.2 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 1,391$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.83 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Evil Geniuses | 55c | 1,169$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.61 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,115$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 713.46$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 538.84$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 490.17$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 414.84$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 342.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 333.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses | 21c | 319.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 248.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Evil Geniuses | 62c | 247.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 216.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Evil Geniuses | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 198.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…4144backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 198.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Evil Geniuses | 38c | 177.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 161.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 159.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…2507backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 147.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 145.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…563ebacked Evil Geniuses | 17c | 142.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 127.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 124.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 123.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 123.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 95.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 91.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 80.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 77.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 77.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 74.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Evil Geniuses | 39c | 64.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 63.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Evil Geniuses | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 44.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 44.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 43.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 41.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 43c | 36.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 34.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 29.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 26.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.